Treffer: Robust Pavement Modulus Prediction Using Time-Structured Deep Models and Perturbation-Based Evaluation on FWD Data

The accurate prediction of the pavement structural modulus is crucial for maintenance planning and life-cycle assessment. While recent deep learning models have improved predictive accuracy using Falling Weight Deflectometer data, challenges remain in effectively structuring time-series inputs and ensuring robustness against noise measurement. This paper presents an integrated framework that combines systematic time-step modeling with perturbation-based robustness evaluation. Five distinct input sequencing strategies (Plan A through Plan E) were developed to investigate the impact of temporal structure on model performance. A hybrid Wide & Deep ResRNN architecture incorporating SimpleRNN, GRU, and LSTM components was designed to jointly predict four-layer moduli. To simulate real-world sensor uncertainty, Gaussian noise with ±3% variance was injected into inputs, allowing the Monte-Carlo-style estimation of confidence intervals. Experimental results revealed that time-step design plays a critical role in both prediction accuracy and robustness, with Plan D consistently achieving the best balance between accuracy and stability. These findings offer a practical and generalizable approach for deploying deep sequence models in pavement modulus prediction tasks, particularly under uncertain field conditions.