Treffer: RESEARCH AND FORECASTING OF TIME SERIES USING PARALLEL COMPUTING TECHNOLOGIES ; ДОСЛІДЖЕННЯ ТА ПРОГНОЗУВАННЯ ЧАСОВИХ РЯДІВ ІЗ ЗАСТОСУВАННЯМ ТЕХНОЛОГІЙ ПАРАЛЕЛЬНИХ ОБЧИСЛЕНЬ

Title:
RESEARCH AND FORECASTING OF TIME SERIES USING PARALLEL COMPUTING TECHNOLOGIES ; ДОСЛІДЖЕННЯ ТА ПРОГНОЗУВАННЯ ЧАСОВИХ РЯДІВ ІЗ ЗАСТОСУВАННЯМ ТЕХНОЛОГІЙ ПАРАЛЕЛЬНИХ ОБЧИСЛЕНЬ
Source:
Bulletin of the National Technical University «KhPI» Series: New solutions in modern technologies; No. 4(22) (2024): Bulletin of the NTU"KhPI". Series: New Solutions in Modern Technology; 29-37 ; Вестник Национального Технического Университета "ХПИ" Серия Новые решения в современных технологиях; № 4(22) (2024): Вісник НТУ «ХПІ». Серія: Нові рішення у сучасних технологіях; 29-37 ; Вісник Національного технічного університету «ХПІ». Серія: Нові рішення у сучасних технологіях; № 4(22) (2024): Вісник НТУ «ХПІ». Серія: Нові рішення у сучасних технологіях; 29-37 ; 2413-4295 ; 2079-5459
Publisher Information:
National Technical University "Kharkiv Politechnic Institute"
Publication Year:
2024
Document Type:
Fachzeitschrift article in journal/newspaper
File Description:
application/pdf
Language:
Ukrainian
DOI:
10.20998/2413-4295.2024.04.04
Rights:
Авторське право (c) 2024 Антон Бойко, Олексій Марусенко, Володимир Мєтєльов, Владислав Овсяніков ; https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
Accession Number:
edsbas.BEF9C98B
Database:
BASE

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This study addresses the challenge of efficient time series processing for forecasting purposes using distributed computing technologies in a cloud environment. The focus is placed on adapting modern approaches to time series analysis for handling large data volumes and integrating them with cloud computing infrastructure. Particular attention is given to processing ultra-long time series, characterized by low signal-to-noise ratios, complex structures, and long-term trends. A wide range of forecasting methods is analyzed, including classical statistical models such as autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and modern machine learning approaches, particularly long short-term memory neural networks. The advantages of parallel computing in significantly accelerating the processing of large data volumes are demonstrated. Specifically, the study confirms the effectiveness of the proposed approach using Amazon Web Services cloud infrastructure, enabling resource optimization and improving forecasting accuracy. A software package based on Apache Spark technologies was developed for time series analysis in distributed environments. Performance testing of the software demonstrated its practical applicability for solving forecasting and anomaly detection tasks in large time series. The application of the adapted autoregressive integrated moving average model, combined with parallel computing, is substantiated as an effective method for time series forecasting. The challenges associated with implementing parallel computing for time series forecasting are explored, including the need for algorithm optimization and ensuring scalability of solutions within a cloud environment. The study outlines prospects for further software enhancements, such as integrating adaptive algorithms and expanding their application to fields like cybersecurity, financial analytics, infrastructure monitoring, and forecasting in economics and industry. The results of extensive computational experiments confirm the effectiveness of the ...